Final Score: Nationals 6 - Phillies 5
Saturday, September 18, 2004 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
62-86 Rating 1478
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Phillies
75-72 Rating 1510
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 292 303
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 12 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 148 147
Avg runs scored 4.0 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.9
Win percentage 42% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 50%