Final Score: Reds 2 - Cubs 1
Thursday, September 30, 2004 at 2:20 PM ET

Reds @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
74-84 Rating 1460
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.9
Cubs
88-70 Rating 1526
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cubs
All-time wins 232 211
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.5
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cubs
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.9
Avg runs conceded 5.7 4.1
Win percentage 47% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 56%