Final Score: Cubs 5 - Pirates 4
Tuesday, September 21, 2004 at 7:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
83-66 Rating 1526
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Pirates
68-81 Rating 1463
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Pirates
All-time wins 260 330
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.2 4.8
Last meeting 13 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Pirates
Games played 149 149
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.6
Win percentage 56% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 51%