Final Score: Red Sox 7 - Orioles 5
Saturday, October 2, 2004 at 1:25 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
96-63 Rating 1571
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.7
Orioles
77-82 Rating 1481
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 276 236
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.4
Last meeting 8 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 5.9 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.7 5.1
Win percentage 60% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 47%