Final Score: Red Sox 7 - Orioles 5
Saturday, October 2, 2004 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
97-63 Rating 1573
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.7
Orioles
77-83 Rating 1479
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 277 236
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.7 4.4
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 5.9 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.1
Win percentage 61% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 47%