Final Score: Mets 5 - Nationals 2
Monday, July 4, 2005 at 1:05 PM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
40-41 Rating 1476
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.7
Nationals
50-31 Rating 1518
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 302 301
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 3.9
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 81 81
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.1
Win percentage 49% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 74%