Final Score: Mets 2 - Nationals 3
Tuesday, July 5, 2005 at 7:05 PM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
41-41 Rating 1478
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.6
Nationals
50-32 Rating 1516
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 303 301
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 3.9
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 82 82
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.1
Win percentage 50% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 72%