Final Score: Mets 6 - Phillies 5
Monday, September 26, 2005 at 7:05 PM ET

Mets @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
78-77 Rating 1489
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Phillies
84-72 Rating 1531
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Phillies
All-time wins 304 313
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.1
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Phillies
Games played 155 156
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.9
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.5
Win percentage 50% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 58%