Final Score: Nationals 11 - Marlins 1
Tuesday, September 27, 2005 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
79-78 Rating 1486
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.5
Marlins
80-77 Rating 1511
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Marlins
All-time wins 89 100
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 4.3
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Marlins
Games played 157 157
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.4
Win percentage 50% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 55%