Final Score: Nationals 11 - Marlins 7
Wednesday, September 28, 2005 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
80-78 Rating 1488
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.4
Marlins
80-78 Rating 1508
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Marlins
All-time wins 90 100
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 11 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Marlins
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.5
Win percentage 51% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 55%