Final Score: Cubs 3 - Astros 2
Thursday, September 29, 2005 at 8:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
77-81 Rating 1503
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.7
Astros
87-71-1 Rating 1547
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Astros
All-time wins 212 251
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.7
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Astros
Games played 158 159
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.8
Win percentage 49% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 66%