Final Score: Pirates 3 - Cubs 2
Wednesday, September 28, 2005 at 2:20 PM ET

Pirates @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
64-94 Rating 1439
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.9
Cubs
77-80 Rating 1505
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Cubs
All-time wins 334 274
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.8 4.2
Last meeting 5 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Cubs
Games played 158 157
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.4
Win percentage 41% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 48%