Final Score: Phillies 6 - Padres 8
Monday, July 17, 2006 at 10:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
42-48 Rating 1508
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.1
Padres
48-43 Rating 1501
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 216 184
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 90 91
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.5
Win percentage 47% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 46%