Final Score: Phillies 5 - Padres 4
Wednesday, July 19, 2006 at 3:35 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
42-50 Rating 1504
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.2
Padres
50-43 Rating 1505
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 216 186
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 6 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 92 93
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.3 4.5
Win percentage 46% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 48%