Final Score: Phillies 3 - Nationals 4
Tuesday, September 26, 2006 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
82-74 Rating 1532
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Nationals
69-87 Rating 1472
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 325 310
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 156 156
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.1 5.4
Win percentage 53% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 52%