Final Score: Phillies 4 - Nationals 5
Wednesday, April 18, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
3-9 Rating 1516
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Nationals
4-10 Rating 1462
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 326 312
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 12 14
Avg runs scored 4.5 2.9
Avg runs conceded 6.0 5.2
Win percentage 25% 29%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 22%