Final Score: Phillies 4 - Nationals 2
Thursday, April 19, 2007 at 1:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
3-10 Rating 1514
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Nationals
5-10 Rating 1464
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 326 313
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 13 15
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.0
Avg runs conceded 5.9 5.1
Win percentage 23% 33%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 30%