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Final Score: Tigers 1 - Red Sox 2
Thursday, May 17, 2007 at 12:35 PM ET

Tigers @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
24-14 Rating 1526
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.5
Red Sox
26-12 Rating 1556
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
Stat Tigers Red Sox
All-time wins 214 275
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 5.2
Last meeting 7 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Red Sox
Games played 38 38
Avg runs scored 5.4 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.9 3.5
Win percentage 63% 68%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 67%

Recent Results

Tigers

@ Boston Red Sox
May 15, 2007 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Boston Red Sox
May 14, 2007 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ Minnesota Twins
May 13, 2007 · Margin: -12 · Total: 20
4-16
@ Minnesota Twins
May 12, 2007 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Minnesota Twins
May 11, 2007 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Seattle Mariners
May 10, 2007 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Seattle Mariners
May 9, 2007 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
vs Seattle Mariners
May 8, 2007 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
@ Kansas City Royals
May 6, 2007 · Margin: +9 · Total: 17
13-4
@ Kansas City Royals
May 5, 2007 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5

Red Sox

vs Detroit Tigers
May 15, 2007 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs Detroit Tigers
May 14, 2007 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 13, 2007 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 12, 2007 · Margin: +9 · Total: 17
13-4
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 11, 2007 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 10, 2007 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 9, 2007 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 8, 2007 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ Minnesota Twins
May 6, 2007 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Minnesota Twins
May 5, 2007 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2