Final Score: Marlins 8 - Rays 4
Friday, May 18, 2007 at 6:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
18-23 Rating 1491
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.3
Rays
18-22 Rating 1441
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Rays
All-time wins 30 19
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.0 3.8
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Rays
Games played 41 40
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.3 6.0
Win percentage 44% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 55%