Final Score: Marlins 2 - Pirates 7
Thursday, May 17, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
18-22 Rating 1493
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.3
Pirates
17-22 Rating 1448
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Pirates
All-time wins 56 66
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.0 4.4
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Pirates
Games played 40 39
Avg runs scored 4.9 3.7
Avg runs conceded 5.3 4.6
Win percentage 45% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 37%