Final Score: Phillies 5 - Astros 7
Monday, July 2, 2007 at 8:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
42-40 Rating 1523
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Astros
35-47 Rating 1489
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Astros
All-time wins 192 216
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.3
Last meeting 11 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Astros
Games played 82 82
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.3 5.0
Win percentage 51% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 51%