Final Score: Phillies 4 - Astros 5
Tuesday, July 3, 2007 at 8:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
42-41 Rating 1521
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Astros
36-47 Rating 1491
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Astros
All-time wins 192 217
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.3
Last meeting 5 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Astros
Games played 83 83
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.3 5.0
Win percentage 51% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 52%