Final Score: Marlins 3 - Padres 2
Thursday, July 5, 2007 at 3:35 PM ET

Marlins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
39-46 Rating 1487
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.6
Padres
48-35 Rating 1524
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Padres
All-time wins 56 60
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 0 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Padres
Games played 85 83
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.2 3.3
Win percentage 46% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 59%