Final Score: Blue Jays 6 - Red Sox 4
Wednesday, September 5, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
70-68 Rating 1517
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.7
Red Sox
84-55 Rating 1558
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
All-time wins 188 239
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 5.1
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
Games played 138 139
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.0
Win percentage 51% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 65%