Final Score: Phillies 7 - Nationals 6
Thursday, September 20, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
82-70 Rating 1533
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Nationals
68-84 Rating 1466
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 333 316
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 152 152
Avg runs scored 5.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.8
Win percentage 54% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 51%