Final Score: Phillies 6 - Nationals 3
Friday, September 21, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
83-70 Rating 1535
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Nationals
68-85 Rating 1464
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 334 316
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 7 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 5.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.8
Win percentage 54% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 50%