Final Score: Phillies 4 - Nationals 1
Saturday, September 22, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
84-70 Rating 1536
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Nationals
68-86 Rating 1462
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 335 316
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 154 154
Avg runs scored 5.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.8
Win percentage 55% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 49%