Final Score: Phillies 3 - Nationals 5
Sunday, September 23, 2007 at 12:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
85-70 Rating 1538
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Nationals
68-87 Rating 1461
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 336 316
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 155 155
Avg runs scored 5.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.8
Win percentage 55% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 49%