Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Rays 5
Sunday, September 23, 2007 at 1:40 PM ET

Red Sox @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
92-63 Rating 1553
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.9
Rays
63-92 Rating 1436
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Rays
All-time wins 111 57
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.8 4.1
Last meeting 8 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Rays
Games played 155 155
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.1 5.8
Win percentage 59% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 45%