Final Score: Astros 4 - Reds 3
Thursday, September 27, 2007 at 7:10 PM ET

Astros @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
70-88 Rating 1479
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.1
Reds
71-87 Rating 1466
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Reds
All-time wins 316 319
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 7 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Reds
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.9
Avg runs conceded 5.1 5.3
Win percentage 44% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 49%