Final Score: Astros 7 - Reds 6
Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 7:10 PM ET

Astros @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
69-88 Rating 1477
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.1
Reds
71-86 Rating 1468
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Reds
All-time wins 315 319
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 8 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Reds
Games played 157 157
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.9
Avg runs conceded 5.1 5.3
Win percentage 44% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 50%