Final Score: Pirates 7 - Astros 9
Saturday, September 15, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
66-81 Rating 1453
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Astros
63-84 Rating 1473
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Astros
All-time wins 237 254
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Astros
Games played 147 147
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.0 5.1
Win percentage 45% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 51%