Final Score: Pirates 4 - Astros 3
Friday, September 14, 2007 at 8:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
65-81 Rating 1451
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.5
Astros
63-83 Rating 1475
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Astros
All-time wins 236 254
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Astros
Games played 146 146
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.0 5.1
Win percentage 45% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 51%