Final Score: Marlins 8 - Mets 1
Sunday, September 30, 2007 at 1:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
70-91 Rating 1466
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.9
Mets
88-73 Rating 1531
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Mets
All-time wins 106 122
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.0 4.8
Last meeting 0 13

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Mets
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.9 5.0
Avg runs conceded 5.5 4.6
Win percentage 43% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 51%