Final Score: Nationals 5 - Orioles 6
Saturday, May 17, 2008 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
18-25 Rating 1465
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.3
Orioles
23-19 Rating 1473
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Orioles
All-time wins 16 12
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.0 3.6
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Orioles
Games played 43 42
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.2
Win percentage 42% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 68%