Final Score: Pirates 7 - Cubs 6
Saturday, May 17, 2008 at 1:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
20-22 Rating 1449
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.8
Cubs
26-16 Rating 1504
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Cubs
All-time wins 351 295
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.8 4.3
Last meeting 4 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Cubs
Games played 42 42
Avg runs scored 5.0 5.8
Avg runs conceded 5.4 4.1
Win percentage 48% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 72%