Final Score: Pirates 6 - Padres 1
Sunday, September 28, 2008 at 4:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
66-95 Rating 1424
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
Padres
63-98 Rating 1456
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Padres
All-time wins 231 186
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.1
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Padres
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.5 4.7
Win percentage 41% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 34% 44%