Final Score: Padres 8 - Phillies 7
Friday, April 17, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Padres @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
7-3 Rating 1467
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.1
Phillies
4-4 Rating 1549
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Phillies
All-time wins 191 225
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.5
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Phillies
Games played 10 8
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.2
Avg runs conceded 3.8 6.8
Win percentage 70% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 33%