Final Score: Padres 8 - Phillies 5
Saturday, April 18, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Padres @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
8-3 Rating 1470
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Phillies
4-5 Rating 1546
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Phillies
All-time wins 192 225
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.5
Last meeting 8 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Phillies
Games played 11 9
Avg runs scored 4.7 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.1 6.9
Win percentage 73% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 75% 25%