Final Score: Padres 5 - Dodgers 8
Thursday, April 30, 2009 at 10:10 PM ET

Padres @ Dodgers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
11-10 Rating 1463
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +0.8
Dodgers
14-8 Rating 1515
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Dodgers
All-time wins 326 349
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.7 4.1
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Dodgers
Games played 21 22
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.6
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.1
Win percentage 52% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 100%