Final Score: Mets 7 - Phillies 4
Friday, May 1, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Mets @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
9-12 Rating 1517
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Phillies
11-9 Rating 1548
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Phillies
All-time wins 334 341
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.2
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Phillies
Games played 21 20
Avg runs scored 4.6 6.0
Avg runs conceded 4.6 5.6
Win percentage 43% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 42%