Final Score: Phillies 7 - Marlins 3
Friday, April 24, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
6-8 Rating 1542
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Marlins
11-4 Rating 1506
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 132 117
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.3 4.8
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 14 15
Avg runs scored 5.1 5.5
Avg runs conceded 6.2 4.2
Win percentage 43% 73%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 83%