Final Score: Marlins 2 - Pirates 3
Tuesday, April 21, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
11-2 Rating 1510
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.5
Pirates
7-6 Rating 1439
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Pirates
All-time wins 60 72
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 4.5
Last meeting 0 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Pirates
Games played 13 13
Avg runs scored 5.9 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.4
Win percentage 85% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 86% 57%