Final Score: Astros 6 - Pirates 3
Thursday, April 16, 2009 at 12:35 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
2-6 Rating 1500
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Pirates
4-4 Rating 1437
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 265 246
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 8 8
Avg runs scored 2.5 4.4
Avg runs conceded 5.5 3.4
Win percentage 25% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 20% 50%