Final Score: Orioles 4 - Blue Jays 5
Saturday, May 2, 2009 at 1:07 PM ET

Orioles @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
9-14 Rating 1446
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +1.2
Blue Jays
16-9 Rating 1539
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Blue Jays
All-time wins 213 240
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 4 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Blue Jays
Games played 23 25
Avg runs scored 5.2 6.0
Avg runs conceded 6.6 4.6
Win percentage 39% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 25% 73%