Final Score: Yankees 3 - Blue Jays 2
Thursday, May 14, 2009 at 7:07 PM ET

Yankees @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
16-17 Rating 1548
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.2
Blue Jays
23-13 Rating 1543
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Blue Jays
All-time wins 248 200
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.8 4.5
Last meeting 8 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Blue Jays
Games played 33 36
Avg runs scored 5.5 5.9
Avg runs conceded 6.1 4.5
Win percentage 48% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 71%