Final Score: Red Sox 6 - Yankees 4
Monday, May 4, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
15-10 Rating 1570
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.1
Yankees
13-11 Rating 1555
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Yankees
All-time wins 305 312
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.6 4.6
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Yankees
Games played 25 24
Avg runs scored 5.6 5.9
Avg runs conceded 5.0 6.4
Win percentage 60% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 67%