Final Score: Red Sox 3 - Rays 5
Sunday, May 3, 2009 at 1:38 PM ET

Red Sox @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
15-9 Rating 1572
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Rays
10-15 Rating 1515
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Rays
All-time wins 124 76
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 5.6 4.2
Last meeting 10 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Rays
Games played 24 25
Avg runs scored 5.8 4.9
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.6
Win percentage 62% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 40%