Final Score: Red Sox 3 - Blue Jays 5
Saturday, May 30, 2009 at 1:07 PM ET

Red Sox @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
28-21 Rating 1569
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.2
Blue Jays
28-23 Rating 1531
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
All-time wins 251 202
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.0 4.7
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
Games played 49 51
Avg runs scored 5.2 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.5
Win percentage 57% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 74%