Final Score: Nationals 3 - Rays 4
Friday, June 12, 2009 at 7:38 PM ET

Nationals @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
17-42 Rating 1403
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
32%
68%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +1.5
Rays
31-31 Rating 1523
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Rays
All-time wins 9 6
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Rays
Games played 59 62
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.6
Avg runs conceded 5.8 4.7
Win percentage 29% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 23% 60%